LEDGER ZERO · SYNTHETIC REHEARSAL
Synthetic household dispatch rehearsal
Illustrative scenario for 312 synthetic homes. Values and interpretations are generated by this rehearsal—not a live feed, independent Ledger Zero instrument result, actual SHARE result, or data-center/grid study.
DISTRIBUTED RESPONSE FIELD
What is changing across the system
Select a metric, cohort, or household to inspect its supporting records. Open “Inspect conclusion” to follow the rule and calculation.
What these numbers mean
All MW values come from synthetic household calculations. Observed response includes modeled coincident load relief. Scenario-adjusted response removes that known simulated contribution, excludes missing telemetry, and applies a fixed 0.96 factor. It is not independently verified delivery.
The evidence score preserves the original numerical output: round(clamp(97 − 115 × (1 − telemetry coverage) − scenario penalty, 68, 97)). The penalty is 7 during minutes 18–37. This illustrative score is not a calibrated probability or statistical confidence percentage.
Capacity-loss percentages are calculated against total modeled enrolled capacity. Baseline, constraint, and rebound states follow scenario rules. A shortfall does not prove an option is unrecoverable.
UTILITY OPERATIONS · SYNTHETIC DECISION SCENARIO
What can the operator rely on—and what still needs checking?
Inspect current delivery, evidence gaps, and possible responses together. This adds fictional reserve assumptions to the household replay; it does not represent either utility’s equipment or dispatch authority.
Candidate responses · arithmetic screening only
Compare each option independently against the current gap held constant. These are not forecasts or dispatch recommendations. Activation delays leave an uncovered interval; local eligibility and authority remain unverified.
| Fictional resource | Capacity | Activation | Sustain | Current assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reserve A | 0.400 MW | 3 min | 15 min | Delivery window has not started |
| Reserve B | 0.800 MW | 8 min | 30 min | Delivery window has not started |
| Unconfirmed resource | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Delivery window has not started |
Inspect option assumptions and missing evidence
Reserve A: 0.400 MW, 3-minute activation, 15-minute sustained delivery. Reserve B: 0.800 MW, 8-minute activation, 30-minute sustained delivery. These values are authored scenario inputs, not measurements, resource commitments, or outputs of Ledger Zero.
Assessment uses the current adjusted gap and minutes until +55. It compares activation time first, then capacity, then sustained duration after activation. Resources are not added together, and their independence has not been established.
Before an operational decision: verify resource location and network constraints, current availability and timestamps, dispatch permission, actual response speed and duration, cost, customer restrictions, and post-event rebound. All are unknown in this demo unless explicitly labeled as a scenario assumption.
The replay has a simulated clock but no live ingestion timestamps or data-age validation. No amount of generated records supplies those missing facts.
Would seeing the response shortfall, evidence gaps, and option timing together change an investigation or operating decision? Which missing input would prevent your team from using it?